Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.240025e-05 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098
2025-01-26 3.194290e-05 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000079 0.000095 0.000115
2025-02-02 2.706679e-05 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000086 0.000109 0.000137
2025-02-09 2.245341e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000066 0.000090 0.000118 0.000154
2025-02-16 2.070240e-05 0.000033 0.000049 0.000071 0.000099 0.000134 0.000179
2025-02-23 1.775003e-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000071 0.000103 0.000143 0.000195
2025-03-02 1.409023e-05 0.000026 0.000043 0.000067 0.000101 0.000144 0.000203
2025-03-09 1.152921e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000101 0.000148 0.000212
2025-03-16 9.580898e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000064 0.000101 0.000152 0.000223
2025-03-23 8.126686e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000063 0.000103 0.000158 0.000235
2025-03-30 6.791408e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000061 0.000104 0.000162 0.000245
2025-04-06 5.465761e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000059 0.000102 0.000163 0.000251
2025-04-13 4.062156e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000056 0.000101 0.000165 0.000260
2025-04-20 3.081336e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000054 0.000101 0.000170 0.000273
2025-04-27 2.699013e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000057 0.000107 0.000183 0.000298
2025-05-04 2.173281e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000110 0.000192 0.000316
2025-05-11 2.063307e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000120 0.000210 0.000350
2025-05-18 1.674992e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000061 0.000123 0.000219 0.000369
2025-05-25 1.150602e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000120 0.000219 0.000375
2025-06-01 8.177758e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000055 0.000119 0.000222 0.000386
2025-06-08 5.864031e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000119 0.000226 0.000398
2025-06-15 4.299543e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000053 0.000121 0.000232 0.000414
2025-06-22 2.985814e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000052 0.000121 0.000236 0.000427